Because
we had problems renewing our domain name, you may have trouble
accessing RAIN today and over the weekend via our usual
URL (www.kurthanson.com) . To make sure you can read RAIN
for the next couple of days, you may want to write down or bookmark
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Thanks to all the fine companies
who were part of Wednesday's "RAINVendor Guide (Ver. 2.0)" issue. If
you didn't have a chance to spend time with it yet,
you can access the issue here.
Thanks!
BY
PAUL MALONEY It's a pretty rare occasion indeed when something involving
law and government regulation is straightforward and easy to understand.
Granted, those who craft policy need to do their best to "cover
every base." But in doing so, what can often result is a seemingly
impenetrable entanglement of conditions, clauses, and exceptions.
So it's no surprise that the DMCA, the CARP recommendations,
Copyright Office directives (like recordkeeping), and the Librarian's
final determination have raised a few questions in RAIN readers'
(and our) minds. Over the past few months, we've been on the receiving
end of pretty consistent stream of questions regarding the new regulations
for webcasters. We'll try to deal with some of the major ones here.
You may also want to refer to the U.S. Copyright Office site
(here) and the Future
of Music Coalition's CARP Factsheet (here).
How do I figure out how much my
station owes? You'll need to figure out how
many "performances" your webcast has made. Remember, the
DMCA defines a
performance as one listener hearing one song. In other words, you're
basically multiplying songs times listeners.
To get a rough idea of what your royalty fees may total, here's
some simple math:
(a) Estimate the number of songs you play in a year. The
Copyright Office will allow webcasters to estimate the number of
songs played through December 31, 2002, or the effective date of
final rules (when they're determined), for the use of royalty calculations.
If you need (or choose) to estimate, Internet-only webcasters are
assumed to have played 15 songs/hour,
broadcasters 12 songs/hour,
and talk radio 1 song/hour (we
couldn't figure out exactly why -- is this bumper music, or is that
exempt?).
After December 31 (or when the final rules are determined),
you'll have to keep exact count of the songs you play. But for our
purposes here (and for official purposes from October 1998 through
the end of this year), we'll estimate.
Let's use our own RAIN Radio as an example, and go with the
average of 15 songs per hour.
(b) Estimate your average audience. Note we're coming up
with an "average" number of listeners, NOT total. We want
to come up with a number that gives us a rough idea of how many
people are hearing your stream at any given moment. Note this number
will likely be much greater than your audience at "off"
hours, and less than your audience at "peak" hours.
And let us stress once more that while exact recordkeeping
regulations are not yet finalized, when it comes time to pay your
royalties, you'll most likely be expected to keep track of your
audiences as best as possible. Our mathematics here are simply estimates
to give you a rough idea of what sort of charges you'll be facing.
Let's say we knowRAIN Radio'saverage
audience size is 350 listeners.
(Again, to stress, this 350 listeners is NOT a TOTAL audience size
any more than 15 is the TOTAL number of songs streamed. It is an
AVERAGE for any given hour. We'll multiply to come up with a total
based on this average).
(c) To get a rough estimate of our royalty obligation for
the year, we multiply the average number of songs per hour (15)
by the average number of listeners, by the total number of hours
in a year (8760), times the royalty rate (0.07¢, which expressed
in dollars is $0.0007).
Annual royalty calculation
for RAIN Radio (hypothetical)
Songs/hr.
Avg. listeners/hr.
Hours/year
Royalty rate
Total
15
350
8760
$0.0007
$32,193.00
But (as they say on late-night TV
commercials for products you don't need...) "Wait -- there's
more!"
(d) There's the issue of the charge for "ephemeral"
copies. These are the copies of the songs you make in order to stream.
For instance, if you "record" a song file to a hard drive
and convert it to a WindowsMedia (.wma) file before you stream,
you've just made an ephemeral recording. Add 8.8% of your royalty
fee to the bill.
Annual royalty calculation
with ephemeral charge for RAIN Radio (hypothetical)
Royalty
Ephemeral rate
Ephemeral charge
Grand total
$32,193.00
8.8% (or 0.088)
$2,832.98
$35,025.98
Note: If you have the means
of deducing a "Total Tuning Hours" number for a given
time period (for instance, you subscribe to a ratings service that
supplies you with these numbers), you can simply multiply that number
by the average number of songs you stream in an hour, and then the
$0.0007 rate to compute the total royalty (before the ephemeral
charge) for that time period. (For example, according to Measurecast,
Radio Free Virgin
streamed 3,714,258 listener/hours in May. With no DJs and very few
commercials, let's estimate that RFV plays the same 14 songs per
hour. We can thus estimate RFV's royalty for
the month.
Monthly royalty calculation
for Radio Free Virgin (hypothetical)
Songs/hr.
TTSL
Royalty rate
Total
15
3,714,258
$0.0007
$38,999.71
Finally, if you stream on a
much smaller scale, keep in mind that there is still the minimum
charge of $500 per year. To qualify to pay the minimum (with the
$0.0007 per performance rate and 15 songs/hour), you'll need to
have an average audience of less than five
listeners at any one time! (CONTINUED BELOW)
[an error occurred while processing this directive]
(FROM ABOVE) How much in ad revenue do
I need to take in to cover this? Given this royalty, each listener will cost just over
1¢/hour (0.07¢ * 15 songs). So obviously, to cover this
debt alone, you'll need to bring in more than 1¢ in ad revenues
for every listener every hour -- which equals what is called a $10
CPM (cost per thousand).
Though broadcast revenues vary greatly (national network
buys are made on much lower CPMs; local spots for special events,
like perhaps a Major League Baseball game, might be much higher),
this $10 CPM is generally where traditional radio comes in. In
other words, broadcasters can typically sell each commercial for
$10 per 1000 listeners.
What this boils down to is that if a webcaster hoping to
cover royalties with ad sales were to sell one
commercial an hour, the webcaster would need to charge
the same rate as broadcasters generally get.
(Note: The above has been corrected from an earlier version of
this story...)
What about public/educational/non-comm
stations? The CARP recommended, and the Librarian agreed, that these
stations (if they are NOT Corporation for Public Broadcasting stations)
would incur royalties as above (including the minimum charge), but
with a 0.02¢
per performance rate. (The CPB has a separate agreement with the
RIAA. If you are a member station, contact the CPB for information).
Do note that if you offer "archived programming subsequently
transmitted over the Internet, substituted programming and up to
2 side channels," the rate remains at 0.02¢. However,
if you have more than two side channels, the rate for those goes
up to 0.07¢.
When is the bill due? The Librarian of Congress set the "effective date"
of his determination as September 1st, so retroactive payments (for
the period covering October 1998 to August 31 2002) will be due
October 20th. How can the royalties be retroactive? Note that the Digital Millennium
Copyright Act (DMCA),
the law that set the framework for all of this, was passed in 1998.
At that point it was determined that webcasters would in fact be
liable for royalties on sound recordings. Neither the CARP nor the
Librarian determined that -- their job was simply to determine "how
much." In other words, it was a "done deal" in 1998.
It was also stipulated that the liability for royalties would
begin at that time. As a matter of fact, since the rate wasn't yet
determined, webcasters and broadcasters got something of a break
here. Kind of like "0% financing until 2002" (to quote
the late-night commercials again). But this was with the understanding
that once the rate was determined, it was time to pay the piper.
Can I move offshore and
avoid the royalties? Several
webcasters have suggested the idea of streaming from a "safe
haven" (a municipality that doesn't recognize US Copyright
law). We have no expertise on the feasibility of this idea, or the
technological issues (for example, might the US government could
block streams coming in from these countries?).
Is it true that this determination
is no longer in effect after 2002?
Yes, the rate structure that was just determined is in
effect retroactively from October of 1998 to December 31 2002. A
new CARP is convening soon to determine the rate for the next period.
What can hobbyists do? While the RIAA and SoundExchange have repeatedly claimed
they are willing to make special deals with "hobbyist"
webcasters (those with no intention of ever profiting from their
streams), we know of no such deals.
What if all the artists we play give us permission to stream royalty-free? The DMCA does require that the royalties collected are split
evenly between the owner of sound recording copyright and the performers
on that particular recording. However, this is not to be confused
with
ownership (or the "exclusive right") of those copyrights.
In the vast majority of cases, the owner of the copyright
of these sound recordings is the record label. Artists can give
you all the permission they want...but if they don't actually own
the copyright to the sound recording, it doesn't mean anything.
But there are some forward-thinking unsigned artists who
are willing to forgo streaming royalties to get their music played
by webcasters. One example of an effort to centralize this music
is the RRadio
Network.
Can I play only non-RIAA music and
avoid these royalties? Not necessarily. The SoundExchange has been granted authority
to collect royalties for all
copyrighted sound recordings, whether those copyrights are owned
by SoundExchange members or not.
However, a webcaster is at liberty to make individual "marketplace"
deals with any copyright holder (RIAA member or not) -- the terms
of which would supersede the "compulsory license" of the
Copyright Office. Of course, a copyright holder can only negotiate
terms for recordings that they own.
Can I negotiate a voluntary license
with the RIAA? Definitely. Though many webcasters have complained that the
recording industry trade group is unresponsive to negotiation, it
is most assuredly within the scope of the law that webcasters and
the RIAA can establish a marketplace agreement the terms of which
(as above) would supersede the compulsory license.
Could a boycott of RIAA product work? I believe there are about 100,000
Americans listening to Internet radio at the average moment on a
typical weekday. Although we don't have solid numbers on their time
spent listening to the medium, intuitively that implies to me that
there are about 1,000,000 genuine
fans of Internet radio. They are probably significantly greater
music fans than the
average American; let's say they buy an average of
20 CDs per year. That's 20 million units, or about
$250 million in value.
Given consumer anger over the RIAA's hardball policies in
general (e.g., releasing CDs that intentionally crash Macintoshes),
perhaps another 1,000,000 music fans might be glad to support the
cause. That's now almost $500 million
in potential lost sales.
1999 CD sales: 938 million units, worth $12.8 billion (plus
another $1 billion in cassettes). (Note: 2000 was higher.)
On the other side of the coin, organizing such a concerted
effort would be very difficult task. For years, protest-minded citizens
have tried to mobilize boycotts of major oil companies by planning
one-day or one-week boycotts of gas stations. To the best of our
knowledge, none of these have ever had a significant effect.
Other questions There are most certainly lots of issues
we didn't touch upon here. In fact, we're working on gathering information
on some of the other issues on our minds and the minds of RAIN
readers. If you have a question, or can shed some additional light
on the issues above, please e-mail us here: feedback@kurthanson.com.
From Fortune Magazine: "Ever since Rob
Glaser left Microsoft in 1994 to found RealNetworks,
he has lived life as a
fly in the ointment.
"That isn't meant as a slight. Anyone who has competed
head-to-head with Bill Gates knows that being tenacious, scrappy,
and a little annoying are prerequisites for survival. His perseverance
has paid off: Today, when it comes to listening to music or watching
video online, there are basically only two ways to go -- Windows'
Media Player and Glaser's Real
Player.
"A big part of Glaser's survival has been Real's close
relationship with AOL (which
like Fortune is owned
by AOL Time Warner).
But that relationship may soon be headed for divorce court.
"Why? Real is beginning to resemble a competitor rather
than a partner. RealOne, its latest offering, is a multimedia subscription
service that looks just like AOL and uses Microsoft's Internet browser,
not AOL's. Worse yet, at $9.95 per month, the service is cheaper
than AOL, and for broadband users it's sometimes better. After only
six months RealOne has some 700,000 subscribers, while subscriber
growth at AOL's flagship service is slowing...
"To combat the Real threat, Fortune has learned, AOL
has been quietly developing its own music
player using a set of audio and video
standards called Ultravox and
.nsv, developed by Nullsoft
and others...What AOL plans to do with all this is still unclear;
neither AOL nor Real would comment...
"Industry watchers bet that AOL has much bigger ambitions
for the project, such as replacing Real's technology with its own
in future versions of AOL's software and using its heft to undercut
Real's deals with content providers..."
Read this piece in the July 8 issue of Fortune, or
online here.
From CNet News.com: "AOL
Time Warner is quietly developing technology that could
dramatically cut the costs of audio
and video broadcasts on the Internet, according to sources familiar
with the effort.
"AOL Time Warner declined to comment on the technology,
code-named Ultravox. But one
source familiar with the technology said it aims to create supercharged
network routers capable of moving large media files far more efficiently
than is possible with current Internet technology...
"The concept and development of Ultravox was originated
by a pool of engineers who develop media and streaming technologies
for AOL. This pool includes members from Nullsoft,
which created the popular Winamp media player and was acquired by
AOL in 1999.
"Though integrated into AOL operationally, the Nullsoft
team has been on the cutting edge of the online giant's software
development efforts. The Nullsoft alumni have been preaching a new
media software dubbed "Wasabi," which can run on various operating
systems including Windows and Linux. The latest version of Winamp,
which is still in beta, is built on Wasabi.
"Ultravox involves 'moving streaming software onto the
(router) switch...like a Cisco or Extreme Networks device,' according
to a source familiar with the technology. It 'fundamentally changes
the layout of the infrastructure required to do radio or video over
the Net,' the source said."
From the Chicago Tribune: "Buoyed by a better-than-expected
upfront television season and the anticipated influx of
election dollars this fall, one of the industry's top advertising
spending trackers is predicting a much healthier second half.
"At a one-day seminar in New York on Tuesday, Taylor
Nelson Sofres CMR forecast a 6.2 percent increase in advertising
spending in the second half. That would push overall spending up by
2.5 percent for 2002, to $109.1 billion.
"But
that number is tempered by the fact that the second-half projection
is compared with depressed levels last year. The estimate of $109
billion in spending in 2002 would be 6.7 percent lower than dot-com
crazy 2000...
"Though media companies and advertising agencies are
still waiting for signs of a turnaround, CMR is predicting a 5.1 percent
increase in spending in the third quarter and a 7.1 percent increase
in the fourth quarter..."