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The
weekend is the perfect time to click through previous
issues of RAIN by using the blue arrows next to the
issue date above. This navigation element has been added retroactively
to all of March's issues.
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BY
KURT HANSON
Those small-market station webcasts that looked so great in
the first couple of Arbitron InfoStream webcast ratings reports seem
to be declining in Monthly Cume at the rate of about 20%
per month, according to the data released by Arbitron last week.
Meanwhile, the few major-market stations that have been consistently
in the top 25 Monthly Cumes report seem to be growing slowly but steadily,
adding about 10% per month to their cume.
"This first InfoStream Report...clearly indicates that small
market broadcast stations are getting a big
boost in audience thanks to streaming their programming on the
Internet," said an Arbitron spokesperson in its first press release.
However, a mathematical calculation in RAIN last December revealed
that this "big boost in audience" actually, in terms of
AQH audience size, only consisted of adding, at most, a few dozen
listeners to their audiences. And now it looks like even that
advantage is beginning to disappear.
The following chart shows Monthly Cume trends for selected stations
that seem to be trending downward. (Click here
for a chart showing Monthly Cume trends for all of December's
top 25 stations.)
Monthly
Cume trends
(selected stations): |
Oct.
'99
|
Nov.
'99
|
Dec.
'99
|
|
www.texasrebelradio.com
|
Austin |
AAA |
83,900
|
n/a*
|
57,800
|
|
www.kpig.com
|
Monterey |
AAA
|
70,200
|
60,700
|
56,600
|
|
www.cd93.com
|
Monterey |
Mod
AC
|
66,300
|
59,000
|
46,600
|
|
www.khyi.com
|
Plano** |
Country
|
56,700
|
58,100
|
40,500
|
|
www.klaq.com
|
El
Paso |
AOR
|
55,700
|
52,100
|
38,300
|
|
www.wkpo.com
|
Madison
|
Urb A/C
|
39,000
|
32,700
|
22,800
|
*
Texas Rebel Radio and certain other unidentified stations were
absent from the November report, apparently due to missing data
in their server logs as they switched streaming providers
** The press release says Dallas, but the station is either
unrated or has lower than a .4 share in that market. |
One thing we don't know, however, is whether these stations' Time
Spent Tuning numbers are increasing at a similar rate, which
would keep their AQH audience size at least constant. We don't know
because Arbitron doesn't release TST figures for 265 of the
290 stations they measured, and none of these stations were on the
top-25 list that Arbitron did release.
Meanwhile, Monthly Cumes for many of the larger-market stations that
made the top 25 seem to be growing at a respectable rate:
Monthly
Cume trends
(selected stations): |
Oct.
'99
|
Nov.
'99
|
Dec.
'99
|
|
www.wplj.com
|
NYC
|
Hot
AC
|
21,500
|
23,500
|
28,800
|
|
www.wabcradio.com
|
NYC
|
N/T
|
23,500
|
22,700
|
28,700
|
|
www.89xradio.com
|
Detroit
|
Alterntve
|
--
|
18,900
|
25,600
|
|
www.955klos.com
|
L.A.
|
AOR
|
19,600
|
21,600
|
25,500
|
|
www.wlsam.com
|
Chicago
|
N/T
|
19,700
|
20,500
|
22,400
|
|
www.kgoam810.com
|
San Fran
|
N/T
|
19,900
|
20,800
|
20,900
|
|
www.kabc.com
|
L.A.
|
Talk
|
19,400
|
22,700
|
19,600
|
|
www.92kqrs.com
|
MSP
|
Clsc Rck
|
19,200
|
17,200
|
19,500
|
Of course, this is a possibly-flawed sample, since we're only able
to look at successful (i.e., Top 25) stations. ("Hey, the stations
that are doing well are doing well!") However, I've gone back
to look at the October's stations, and few big-market stations seemed
to have dropped off the list. Thus I think we can safely conclude
that those large-market station webcasts that we have access to data
on seem to be growing.
So what's going on here? Well, we speculated last Fall that stations
like KFAN, KHYI, and KPIG were doing so well because they were
the first stations listed under "Rock" in early versions
of RealPlayer. Similarly, I believe that some of the other high-cuming
small-market stations also had favorable RealPlayer positionings.
(Read full article by clicking here.)
It stands to reason that as consumers convert to newer versions
of RealPlayer -- or begin to use other tuners (e.g., Windows Media
Player, Hiwire, vTuner, custom station tuners, etc.) -- that the cume-building
value of those presets in the old versions is going to decline.
That's my best hypothesis as to what's going on. Does this
make sense to you? Or do you have an alternative hypothesis? Contribute
your feedback here.

Cume: Short for "cumulative audience." Counting
everybody once, no matter how long they listen.
Monthly cume: Total number of different people (or, technically,
in the case of InfoStream webcast ratings, I believe, different
audio player ID #s) who listened at least once during the
month for at least a moment.
Time Spent Tuning: How many total hours during
the month the average person in a webcast's monthly cume
spent listening to that webcast.
Average persons: (Also known as "AQH persons"
or "Average Quarter Hour persons.") How many people
are listening at the average moment. (Thus, if you run
one commercial or song at a random/average moment, this statistic
tells you about how many people will hear that commercial or
song.) |

Thanks very much to everyone who helped spread the word about
RAIN in Week #1 of the RAIN Viral Marketing Contest.
However, we didn't have a winner (see details here),
so we're adding another prize to the RAIN Viral Marketing
Contest Prize Package and trying again!

This week, you could win both the Sony Music Clip digital music player
(pictured below) and
a gorgeous Nextel i1000plus Internet-ready cell phone (pictured
at left)!
It's totally packed with features -- including the ability to give
you wireless Internet access when Nextel begins that service
in some markets next month (see full specs sheet here)...but
the best part, in my opinion, is this: It's got an integrated speakerphone.
That means you can use it holding it halfway at arm's
length -- exactly
like Kirk, Spock, and McCoy used to hold their communicators!
("Scotty, I need warp power in ten minutes or we'll all dead.")
Here are the rules: You're invited to recommend RAIN to your
friends and colleagues. If RAIN gets 100 new "subscribers"
this week (i.e., new readers who fill out the "Enjoying reading
RAIN?" form below), we'll give away the entire prize package
to one lucky winner (chosen randomly from everyone who has sent out
an e-mail recommendation to date). If not, we'll roll over all
the entries, add something more to the prize package, and try
again next week.
So think of a few people you know who would benefit from knowing about
RAIN -- co-workers, subordinates, friendly competitors, clients,
vendors, college friends -- and tell them about this fine Web-based
daily newsletter. And
win!
(Want to write an e-mail to a couple of colleagues right
now, but need help composing the e-mail? Click here
for some suggested language.)
If you've already recommended RAIN to your colleagues
(see list HERE to
make sure we've got your name), you really don't have
to recommend it to more people, because your name is already
in the hat. However, it would be nice if you did.
The deal on the cell phone is that when you buy it (and
sign up for service), we'll reimburse you for the cost of the
phone (which should be about $200). Or if you don't want to
do that, we'll buy you some other cool electronic item in that
price range instead.
And the 100 new subscribers have to be legitimate industry-related
people. (No stuffing the ballot box with 40 kids from your daughter's
5th grade class! Thank you.)
|
If you're
a new reader to RAIN, we encourage you to fill out the quick,
easy-to-fill-out form immediately below:
More
coming soon! Contribute your suggestions here.
(Suggestions already in the hopper include CableMusic.com, RadioWoodstock.com,
Nerve Radio, Radio Gogaga, and HotCountryHits.)
Miss an
issue?
Visit the RAIN News Archives here.

If you'd like an easy-to-read set of tables of the Arbitron
InfoStream December 1999 results, they're now available for your
viewing here in RAIN. Click here for...
Top
25 stations in Monthly Cume
Top
25 stations in Time Spent Tuning
Side-by-side
comparison of the above two lists
Monthly
Cume trends
Time
Spent Tuning trends

To
read RAIN's coverage of the release of the first, October
1999 InfoStream report, select from any of the following stories:
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Ad insertion
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at 773-656-5878 or send an e-mail HERE.
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If
you are a vendor and would like to know more about sponsoring
a button and link in this guide, please
call RAIN at 773-656-5878 or send an e-mail HERE.
The RAIN Vendor Guide is scheduled to
go "live" sometime in the next week or so. |
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Kurt.
don't forget that you used a one-pixel GIF after the "Research"
line for spacing purposes! |
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