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From CNET News:
"America Online is acquiring media giant Time Warner in a deal that would create a company valued around $350 billion.

"It is probably the most significant development in the Internet business world to date," said Phil Leigh, an analyst at Raymond James. "If it hasn't been evident to most of us yet, it should be obvious to us now that the Internet is about audio and video and not just merely text and graphics."

"About 18 months ago, the feeling was that some of the media companies would buy Internet companies, but what happened is that the valuations got so reversed that it is really the opposite that is likely," said Leigh. "With 55 percent of the new company's stock being controlled by AOL shareholders, I think AOL is in the driver's seat. Today's deal is psychologically a big step and now it is likely that we will see others come along."

The all-stock transaction between AOL and Time Warner will be the biggest merger in history.

Read the original story and a follow-up on CNET News here or MSNBC's take on the story here.

More analysis and commentary tomorrow, including comments from readers. Add your observations and insights here.


Commentary

"In the past we always thought that Internet companies needed traditional assets to succeed, and it's becoming more evident that it's the traditional media companies that need the help because they can't figure it out," said Charlene Li, an analyst at Forrester Research. From CNET here.

"The deal signifies beyond a shadow of a doubt that the Internet has become a vital piece of the media puzzle, and it is almost certain to spark a flurry of other breathtaking deals between old-line media giants and newly minted Internet companies." From the Wall Street Journal here (subscription required).

Time Warner CEO Gerald Levin was especially bullish about the music angle. "One of the most exciting things about this transaction related to the music business," Levin said. "Through AOL and through the Internet, you have a worldwide opportunity to promote. The music business is built on signing new acts, and this new society has a vast field of which to choose. Also, music lends itself to the digital downloading and more efficient delivery of music." From CNN.com here.

"It comes at a time when many big media companies are struggling to figure out how to harness the power of the Internet, and when Internet companies are increasingly looking to put entertainment and other content on their Web sites to attract more customers." From the Wall Street Journal here (subscription required).

"My guess is that this deal will convince Yahoo!, Lycos and the rest of the major Net portal players of the urgency to look around for other big media conglomerates." From ZDNet here.

Time Warner, a company with fantastic individual media properties, poured millions of dollars into that mid-1990s effort but just couldn't figure out how to transfer that amazing brand equity from the world of print to the Internet. From ZDNet here.




BY KURT HANSON
On Friday, Radio & Records
ran a brief item noting that Lee Zapis, "the former President of Zapis Communications, is now VP/COO of Everstream, which provides digital streaming of music content to daily online news sites as well as the systems the sites need to generate revenue though online audio advertising..." Click here to read that item in Friday's edition (subscription required).

An article in the 12/20/99 Crain's Cleveland Business gives more detail: "Everstream has developed a product to help local newspapers establish branded radio stations on their Internet portals.

"Like their traditional broadcast cousins, the newspapers' online radio stations will generate revenues by selling airtime to local and national advertisers...

"Mr. McHale said they give advertisers an alternative to online banner ads, which have seen a decline in the number of click-throughs...

" 'This will be a significant part of Internet advertising going forward,' said Mr. McHale, President of Everstream which employs 12... Everstream already has landed two clients -- Ohio.com, the online version of The Akron Beacon Journal, and Nando Media...

"'We'll only have three or four breaks an hour for a total of six minutes an hour,' Mr. McHale said. By contrast, Mr. Zapis said broadcast radio stations typically allot 15 minutes each hour for commercials..."

Lee has found quite a concept here, it seems to me. Sixty or seventy years ago, many newspapers applied for and were granted licenses by the FCC to launch radio stations (e.g., The Milwaukee Journal's WTMJ/Milwaukee). Now it looks as if newspapers may be poised to do it again -- only, this time, without the need for the FCC license.

Obviously, this could be a threat to radio stations (both in terms of listeners and ad dollars) if radio stations are shut out here. Or it could be a great opportunity if radio stations can get involved somehow -- cutting, say, co-branding deals with their local newspapers. And/or it may work in radio's favor if hundreds of newspaper ad salespeople start to hit the streets talking up the advantages of radio advertising.

And of course it might be great for radio people if hundreds of new radio jobs open up at dozens of newspaper-owned stations. (After all, they'll need programmers and salespeople if they want to do it right.)

Read the Crain's Cleveland Business article here. Comment on the implications of this story here. More on this story (including reader comments) later this week.



According to a report just issued by Nielsen//NetRatings, November usage data for the top Internet media players indicates that the vast majority of home Internet users are using none of them.

According the data from the company's Internet Media Strategies service, RealPlayer had a reach of 12.1 percent of the active Internet universe -- i.e., home users who both have Internet access and used it. Apple's QuickTime had a 7.4 percent reach and Microsoft's Windows Media Player had a reach of 3.2 percent.

Note that QuickTime, while technically a "media player," is generally not used for streaming media like radio webcasts; it's typically used by users who download a piece of audio or video content in its entirety before listening to it.

  Usage of Top Internet Media Players, November 1999
Source: Nielsen//NetRatings, January 2000
  Player Name
Unique Audience Reach
%
  RealPlayer
8,973,331
12.1
  QuickTime
5,461,303
7.4
  Windows Media Player
2,376,191
3.2

You can see from the table above that the reach of the two primary streaming media players above (RealPlayer and Windows Media Player) would add up to 15.3% -- and that's before you subtract out duplication.

Allen Weiner, vice president of analytical services at NetRatings, was quoted as saying, ""The battle of media players on the end user's desktop is as significant as the battle of desktop operating systems many years ago." (Actually, a comparison to web browsers -- i.e., Netscape vs. Microsoft Internet Explorer -- might be more appropriate.)

Nielsen//NetRatings is an Internet audience measurement service that's a joint venture of Nielsen Media Research and NetRatings, Inc.

Note that this story totally contradicts a press release issued last week by Microsoft, in which they quote Media Metrix statistics to claim that, in September, "Windows Media Player was used by 14.3 percent of home PC users. By comparison, RealNetworks Inc.'s RealPlayer was used by 16.8 percent, demonstrating that Microsoft continues to narrow the gap with the competition in consumer usage."

There's obviously a huge difference between the 3.2% reach for Windows Media Player quoted by Nielsen//NetRatings and the 14.3% quoted in the Microsoft press release. More on this later this week. (Your comments and insights are invited here.)


There's a good story on the battle between RealNetworks and Windows Media Player in today's New York Times. Click here to read it (registration required).




From Radio Business Report: "Shares of musicmusicmusic.com shot up Friday (1/7) on the Frankfurt, Germany Neuer Markt after the company (which, strangely, is based in the US) said it had a $400K deal to swap services for promotion by Citadel Communications (O:CITC) and its radio stations. Musicmusicmusic operates a user-programmed MP3 music site, RadioMoi.com." Click here for RBR.com.

In fact, RadioMoi is a Toronto-based Internet broadcaster that lets listeners set up "playlists" of approximately 100 songs they'd like to listen to -- and then plays those songs in a random sequence. Its founder and CEO is "a 1980s punk music industry maven turned Internet geek" (according to the Toronto Sun) named Wolfgang Spegg. In a dispute with the Canadian Recording Industry Association, Spegg moved his server across the border into Vermont and signed a licensing deal with the U.S.'s RIAA.


Reprinted from Friday's late-afternoon edition:

From the Chicago Sun-Times: "Motorola Inc., the Schaumburg technology company, is combining new Internet-based technology with its 70-year-old roots in car radios. The company introduced the prototype for the iRadio, an Internet-based car radio that makes it possible for drivers to have e-mail read, listen to voice mail, get reports on their stock holdings and obtain local traffic and weather information--just by talking to their radio.

"'We are reinventing the car radio,' said Bob Denaro, Motorola vice president of telematics, the technical name for communications into and out of cars.

Although the Sun-Times article notes that the actual device may not become commercially available for "several years," the fact that the prototype is already out seems like it's on a timetable ahead of anyone's guess.

"The iRadio will use broader-band communications that make possible information and entertainment services, including radio broadcasts from anywhere in the world and downloads of audio books. Voice commands will be used to obtain information. 'You don't want people to be dialing little buttons. All iRadio communications can be done hands-free, which means drivers can keep their hands on the wheel and eyes on the road,' Denaro said.

Read the article from the Chicago Sun-Times here.



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