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   January 3, 2000
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BY KURT HANSON
Or should that be, "What's ahead for audio?"

That's a key distinction, because if CBS/Infinity and Clear Channel/AMFM and Emmis and Entercom and Cumulus and all the other existing radio broadcasters define themselves as providers of music and information and entertainment in audio form, that's one thing. But if they define themselves as providers of music and information and entertainment that's transmitted via AM and FM radio frequencies, that's quite another -- and maybe not so good.

Just to put things into perspective as we all start our new year (and century), here is what's coming up soon...with much of it coming this year:

Millions of car radios are soon going to have access to the subscription services of Sirius Satellite Radio and XM Radio -- with each service offering dozens of channels of commercial-free music for about $9.95/month. Subscription radio via cable systems into the home has not met with much popular support -- but will this?

  Here's what CNET News wrote yesterday on the subject (in an article that was primarily about other media):

"Sirius Satellite Radio, with support from Ford Motor, and XM Satellite Radio, which counts General Motors as an investor, are developing coast-to-coast digital music systems that will deliver as many as 100 channels of commercial-free music, talk shows, and news and information to commuters and long-haul truckers nationwide.

"At $10 per month, industry experts expect millions of Americans to latch onto the satellite radio services, as new cars begin including the systems and as stereo makers such as Alpine, Clarion and Panasonic offer new after-market satellite receivers.

"'[Satellite radio] will be the fastest-selling consumer product of all time. It's going to be huge,' Leichtman said. 'This has very widespread appeal, and people get it immediately. They understand what it is...'

Click here to read the full story.
 

Meanwhile, 2/3 of American households are soon going to have Internet connections that give them access to streamed audio of broadcast radio stations -- in their town and around the world. Will this allow your listeners to listen to you in new locations (e.g., in office buildings with bad reception)...or will it encourage them to listen to stations in markets that are hundreds or thousands of miles away?

In addition, those same listeners will be able to listen to hundreds of Internet-only radio stations and channels -- stations with little or no "stationality," admittedly, but with extremely low spot loads and customization features that broadcasting can't offer.

And they won't be restricted to listening on tinny computer speakers, either. New appliances and portable players are coming out in the next few months that will allow people to listen to Internet-streamed audio on stand-alond devices, on their home stereos, and (via downloads) on Walkman-like devices.

  From the current issue of Business Week:

"After several false starts, this year the media business will get its first real taste of the competition being ushered in by the Digital Age. More than one-third of U.S. consumers will be staring at some form of digital appliance in 2000. These services will include everything from TV signals beamed from direct broadcast satellites to superfast cable modems to link their computers to the Internet.

"The competition for viewers will become intense enough to cut into the earnings of TV networks, cable operators, and Internet startups alike--even as the industry basks in the most robust advertising market of recent memory..."

Read the full story in Business Week here (subscription required).
 

Meanwhile, on a totally positive note, radio stations now can offer a visual compliment to their programming via their websites. If you're a programmer, you can now put up the title and artist of the song you're playing. You can use your website as a high-tech request line -- and give better customer service than you've ever been able to before. If you're in sales, you can add visuals that correspond with your advertisers' spots or links to their websites. The possibilities are limited only by your imagination.

And you have the opportunity to turn your radio station into a global presence if you do it right (just as KIIS-FM/Los Angeles is trying to do with their "KIISFMi" website).

So it should be an exciting few months! Please join us here daily as we cover and hopefully help you interpret this activity.


Please feel free to comment on the above article! Click here.

Feedback:
"When the Internet goes mobile...
"
        -- Jack Messmer (Radio Business Report)

Monday, January 3, 2000 at 09:35:25

Given the choice between paying a monthly fee for satellite radio or wireless mobile Internet, how many people will choose satellite radio? Of course, a few people will pay for both, and satellite radio will deploy first. Before satellite radio is even a decade old, I expect to see wireless Internet stop it dead in its tracks, at least as far as growth is concerned (perhaps killing it completely if it's not yet to the break-even point). I doubt that terrestrial radio has much to fear from satellites, but when the Internet goes mobile, it may be a very different story.



From eRadio: "iCommerce Group, Inc. (OTCBB:ICGI) has entered into a binding letter of intent with Dick Broadcasting...for the purchase of $1 million worth of radio advertising airtime in exchange for 1,000,000 restricted shares of iCommerce Group common stock. The Company intends to utilize the advertising slots to advertise and promote key e-commerce sites such as Screenfix.com and Musicinstock.com..."

This appears to be the same model that CBS's Mel Karmazin has used successfully in acquiring pieces of Switchboard.com, CBS Sportsline, CBS MarketWatch, and the contest-based portal iWon. Click here for the full story in eRadio.




Yahoo, RealNetworks at a contract crossroads

December 30, 1999
From CNET News: "RealNetworks and Yahoo have arrived at a crossroads in their relationship, with a major contract involving streaming media services on the Web portal's Broadcast site set to expire later this week. Although Yahoo Broadcast says it supports all streaming media formats, RealNetworks currently has preferred status on the site. The looming Jan. 1 expiration brings uncertainty to whether the contract will be renewed, or possibly revised or revoked..." Click here for the story.


Happy New Year: Innovate or Die
December 31, 1999
From Red Herring: "Never before in the history of mankind has understanding the confluence of technology, information, strategy, and analysis played such an important role in the global economy... Now a new study bears proof that more than ever, today's mantra is innovate or die. Consequently, America's corporations have decided to ante up. Across diverse industries in the new year, corporations plan to increase spending on research and development to a new high... The implications for business are astounding. Decades-old, esteemed corporations, suddenly face the possibility of extinction, overwhelmed by the promise of startup firms, some just months old..." Click here to read the full piece.



We'd appreciate hearing from you...and we'll send you an occasional news update via e-mail if the situation ever warrants.
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