October 6, 2000    
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To read yesterday's issue of RAIN, simply click on the blue arrow to the left of the issue date above.



BY MARK CUBAN

Here is another RIAA-induced fun fact
that everyone is missing: The current DMCA (Digital Millenium Copyright Act) requires that once a license amount is settled on, webcasters owe for all those songs streamed since the DMCA turned on!

This is from the RIAA website: "A rate is expected to be set by early 2001 for all transmissions from 10/28/98 through 12/31/00." So for the sake of example, let's say the average music webcast has 100 users 24x7.. I know this could be argued, but for the sake of numbers, let's use it.. And let's use 18 songs per hour, 1/2 cent per song..

That means for every music webcast station, the webcaster owes 9 dollars for every hour they have been webcasting music since October 28, 1998...

That's right, since 1998!!! Almost 2 years. So, that's $9x24=$216 per day, $6,480 per month or $77,600 per year for 2 years. That's basically $155,200 per station... So if you have had 10 channels up for 2 years, you owe $1.55MM. 100 channels, that's $15.5MM dollars...ALL TO THE RECORD LABELS.

Of course
that is more than the total in-stream advertising of the entire industry for that period -- probably times 5 or more -- but what does the RIAA care? That's a death certificate for 95% of the industry.

What's the best business in the webcasting industry? Prepackaged bankruptcies to avoid the RIAA fees!

=================
Mark Cuban
(pictured above with Silicon Alley Daily publisher Jason Calacanis) is the owner of the Dallas Mavericks and was the founder of Broadcast.com (now Yahoo! Broadcast). Cuban's earlier observations on this topic were quoted recently in Wired News and are excerpted in RAIN here.

Have an opinion on this article? Share it! Simply click the headline at left to bring up a convenient "Submit" form.




BY MICHAEL "MIKE ROBERTS" FERBRACHE

I was among those "let go" during the first wave of firings at FastBand in June, and I would like to contribute comments re: your story of October 4 (here)...

FastBand did lack discipline in spending, having built overly elaborate studios for a "start-up", on ridiculously expensive real estate on Bourbon Street in New Orleans. It was pretty much like trying to build a house, and worrying about the wall paper before the walls were up.

Outgoing expenses included seven well-paid "e-j"s, 3 fulltime producers with an executive producer, PD, MD and a succession of assistant MDs, in addition to HR staff and web team. And, in addition to studios in a building in the French Quarter, the gruop occupied the entire 15th floor of one of the largest office buildings in downtown New Orleans. (CONTINUED BELOW)

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(CONTINUED FROM ABOVE)
There was no incoming revenue,
save penny royalties from Liquid Audio downloads of select artists discovered and pushed by the capable MD Christian Unruh, in co-ordination with LA producer Paul Fox in hopes of starting a companion record label.

There was never one spot aired on FastBand, and only until recently, no banner ads. The sales staff consisted of two consecutive sales managers who quit without results, one of them after only a week or two on the job.

The PD, Grant Morris, did have a unique vision of creating a new worldwide format consisting of music and news. The idea was to rest somewhere between CNN and MTV. How much music, what kind, and how much talking was the subject of much debate by the on-air staff, who had previous experience in the business. Morris did not.

The MD, assisted by Fitz Madrid (K-Whale/Anchorage), Lou Stadler (www.morfeo.com), and currently Brian Danos, struck an excellent balance between new rock and world pop, but it was difficult to hold an audience when breaking from a 20 minute dissertation on Chechnya into the new Blur song.

But in the end, FastBand befell the same fate as others seen in the news recently: Great new idea, no more money. Investors have wisened up to the fact that there is no profit in webcasting, and in the long run, their investment had better buy more than bragging rights to a piece of the latest pie. Too bad.

...
...
Thanks, Mike, for an excellent insider's perspective.

The only qualification I'd note
is to amend your conclusion to the following: "There is no profit in webcasting if you do NO marketing and you never air a SINGLE SPOT." -- KH
...

Two other alert RAIN readers
also contribute related thoughts:

"To all future webcasters: Learn from these mistakes!"


I used to work for FastBand GlobalCast in New Orleans...and I do agree with RAIN's analysis. Having seen it first hand, there were many mistakes made from the beginning.

Too much money spent on "cool" and "hip" things. Our studio had the best broadcast equipment in New Orleans. (Not really needed for a webcast)
Our production department was overworked (usually on outside projects from the founder's own company) and the most basic promos were either months late, or never done at all.
Our music director would travel the world for new "world" music and come back with whatever was #1 in Germany (and a bunch of phone numbers from hot girls) and tell us, "This is gonna be huge!" We had "Mambo #5" months before anyone else. (Lucky us, we were already sick of it before it hit the airwaves.)
They never tried to market the station beause they were too worried about the look and feel, and didn't even attempt to market the air personalities that they spent good money to hire.

What do they have to offer now? The name is nothing and there is no content.

To all future webcasters...learn from these mistakes! These were not stupid people, they just didn't know enough about the internet or radio or marketing. If you can't do it in the real world, you can't do it on the internet.

I am sure they all wish they could go back and do it again, but after $6 million dollars of their own money, they should have just kept running the ISP, web design and healthcare company that they started with. You live and learn, and I would not ever give up the time I spent there. I have learned a lot.

  -- "Deep background" only

...

"This is going to happen more often than not..."


I hate to see any company "go away" but at the same time it is becoming very clear that this is going to happen more often then not. The key to your story in RAIN is that none of their people had broadcast backgrounds. Anyone that is doing a streaming format without the benefit of radio pros I fear will be doomed from the start.

True, the radio community as a whole has not grasped the importance of streaming and that it will, I believe, take over in the not-too-distant future like FM did to AM not so long ago. There are lots of people with great ideas and technical skills to do really nice web sites and streaming content but without the knowledge of sales, marketing, and promotion it will be a short life with no listeners, no sales, and no company.

  Tim Johnston
The Network Group


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    Kurt, this is deep background -- don't quote me!

        Thanks!





For a brief period yesterday morning, the stock price of Minneapolis-based NetRadio Corporation briefly dipped below the $1.00 level, as a block of 3,000 shares traded at $.78, followed moments later by a larger block at $1.00, another at $.93, and another at $1.00 again. The rest of the day, the stock traded in the $1.00 to $1.15 range.

At its current price at the time of this writing ($1.06), the company has a market capitalization of $10,600,000.

NetRadio streams 120 music channels
with several experienced radio professionals on its roster of programmers. Back in November of last year, the company's market cap was briefly almost $150,000,000. (See stock price chart from CNBC here.)

Read RAIN's latest news story about NetRadio here.

If you follow Internet radio-related stocks, we'd love to have you join our brand-new panel of RAIN Stock Watch advisors. E-mail us here.


Reprinted from yesterday's issue:

From The Internet Standard: "About 75 percent of companies advertising on the Internet are dot-coms. So it would seem that online ad revenues would be hit hard by Net business failures and shrinking marketing budgets. But Net ad numbers are fairly rosy, leaving offline dot-com advertising to feel the cuts.

"Internet retailers increased online spending to 59 percent of the total of their average marketing budget – up 10 percent from the first quarter, according to Shop.org and the Boston Consulting Group...

"Internet ads are expected to make up almost 10 percent of all U.S. advertising spending by 2004, according to advertising industry analyst Veronis Suhler. That's a big step up from the 4 percent of ad spending for the Net anticipated this year."

Read the full Industry Standard article here.



From John Dvorak's column in this week's Forbes:
"It's hard to say how many people listen to streaming radio. I've heard estimates that claim up to 45 million people are equipped to listen to streaming radio and might have heard a broadcast. The numbers are unclear and hard to prove.

"Whatever the case, I have listened to radio over the Internet myself, but I noticed that I have not made a habit of it. As this is written, I probably have not listened to an Internet radio broadcast for two or three months. I myself wonder why...

"My experience with specialized players is that, with no exceptions, they have interfered with the performance of my computer...

"It remains to be seen whether anyone can make money with any of this. It's starting to look like the emergence of a new popular hobby, not a new business opportunity. Take a listen and see what you think."

You can read the entire column
here.

...
...
If you click the link above, you'll see that Dvorak writes primarily about the 18,000 "hobbyist" radio stations on Live365.com and the appeal of listening to air traffic control scanners.

In this particular column, notice that Dvorak doesn't really spend any time examining whether Internet radio is a good new business opportunity or not. (He simply notes that he doesn't listen himself). -- KH
...


Simply click the headline at left to bring up a convenient pop-up form -- or click here to use your own e-mail software.


October 5-7 Billboard/Airplay Monitor Seminar, New York
October 9-12 QuickTime Live! Conference, Beverly Hills
October 10-12 Streaming Media Europe 2000, London
November 5-7

NAB European Radio Conference, Berlin

November 12-14 Canadian Association of Broadcasters (CAB) "Broadcasting 2000: On-air / On-line," Calgary
Nov. 28-Dec. 1 Radio Ink Internet Conference, Santa Clara, CA, featuring a brand-new national study on Internet radio usage presented by Eric Rhoads & Kurt Hanson
February 1-4, 2001 RAB 2001. Details coming soon.



xxx  

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